EG :: Volume #18

#1769: The output must increase

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Country of Saudi Arabia ~ king Abdullah at this time with Yuan of other opec member nations ~ seat of honor in the same place, everybody looked mutually, no one has started talking. 沙特的国~王阿卜杜拉此时正在跟其他opec成员国的元~首坐在一起,大家相互看了看,谁都没开口说话。 The crude oil under-production, truly makes crude price little not rise, the income of each country not only has not reduced, instead also increased. 原油减产,确实让原油价格没少涨,他们每个国家的收入都不但没减少,反而还增加了。 However the trades of their these countries, presented the serious problem. Not only the US, China, Japan, Russia , etc. has carried on the economic sanctions to it, EU, was involved. 但是他们这些国家的贸易,却都出现了严重问题。不只是米国、华夏、岛国、俄罗斯等对其进行了经济制裁,就连欧盟这边,也参与到了其中。 It can be said that opec touched the interests of majority of countries. 可以说,opec触动了大部分国家的利益。 opec reserves and output, occupies the world about 40%, at this time other countries collaborated, must start to suppress the crude price, they were really also not necessarily able to shoulder. opec的储量和产量,也就占据世界40左右,这时候其他国家联手,要开始打压原油价格,他们也真未必能扛得住。 Now this trade blocks, made them lose many, domestic many essential items prices rose, like this in their these countries, will have the inflation. 现在这个贸易封锁,就让他们损失了不少,国内许多必需品的价格都上涨了,这样在他们这些国家,会发生通货膨胀啊。 Even if they have made money, the living standard of people must drop, gain does not equal the loss. 那他们即使多赚钱了,国人的生活水平也要下降,得不偿失。 They organize the interior, at this time also some arguments, whether must compromise, restores the crude oil output, to receive in exchange other countries to untie to their trade blockades. 他们组织内部,此时也有争论,是否要妥协,恢复原油产量,以换取其他国家解开对他们的贸易封锁。 These Great nation Organizations collaborate, their opec could not have shouldered. Now seems like crude price steadily surges upward, but is mainly the international speculator pushes actually high. 这些大国组织联手,他们opec还真的扛不住。现在看似原油价格不断高涨,但其实主要就是国际炒家推高的。 If did not have these funds, the crude price can also high? The key is they made money now, actually cannot receive in exchange the life to commodity, this is most troublesome. 要是没了这些资金,原油价格还能有多高？关键是他们现在赚了钱,却换不回生活必须的物资,这才是最麻烦的。 Their these countries, which have are the agricultural countries, is they produces except for the water, other from the basic necessities of life, is imports. 他们这些国家,有哪个是农业国家啊,除了水是他们自己生产的,其他的从衣食住行等,都是进口啊。 But at this time compromised, other countries will definitely request them to increase production, thus returns to below 60 US dollars the crude price second rolling again. 可是这时候妥协,其他国家肯定会要求他们进行增产,从而将原油价格再次压回到60美元以下。 But the US makes that shale oil, if after can the quantity manufactures, to their influences is very big. Besides petroleum and other energy, what valuable commodity do they have? 而米国弄得那个页岩油,如果能够大量生产之后,对他们的影响是非常大的。除了石油等能源,他们还有什么有价值的商品吗？ That shale oil will increase the crude oil enormously the output, thus draws the low crude oil the price. 那个页岩油会极大的增加原油的产量,从而拉低原油的价格。 „Everybody did not speak, me. A bread flour price of our country present manufacture bread, rose three times, closes right up against the Government subsidy, otherwise home inevitably by inflation crashing.” Abdullah said. “各位都不说话,那我来说吧。我们国家现在的一块制作面包的面粉价格,上涨了三倍,都是靠着政斧补贴的,否则国内必然被通货膨胀给压垮了。”阿卜杜拉说道。 Money is not valuable, many life, will definitely have the sweeping change, that must go wrong. 钱不值钱了,许多的生活,必然会发生大变化,那要出乱子的。 „The US, Europe and other countries made this shale oil to come out, our crude prices will definitely drop, but definitely cannot fall is too low.” “米国、欧洲等国家弄这个页岩油出来,我们的原油价格必然会下降,但是肯定也不能跌的太低。” „Internationally is at regarding the demand of crude oil increases the condition, we maintained last year output, can still make us have very high income.” “国际上对于原油的需求量还是处于增加状态,我们保持去年的产量,依然能让我们有很高的收入。” „It is not right, the crude price falls, our output is invariable, then the income definitely is to drop.” Some people said. “不对,原油价格下跌,我们产量不变,那么收入肯定是下降的。”有人说道。 „Crude price will not break 60 US dollars, you believe really that the cost of that shale oil, can mine us is lower than? Cost of their one barrel of oil, takes certainly over 60 US dollars.” “原油价格不会跌破60美元,难道你们真的认为,那个页岩油的成本,能比我们开采更低？他们一桶油的成本,肯定要60美元以上。” „If therefore the oil price is low, then they lose money the production, such they will reduce production, even stops producing, the crude production will return then to the normal track to come up.” Abdullah's self-confident saying. “所以如果油价非常低,那么他们就是亏本生产,那样他们就会减产,甚至停止生产,然后原油生产又会回到正常的轨道上来。”阿卜杜拉自信的说道。 The cost of shale oil? This issue, before their not careful consideration. However they also believe that Abdullah's words, withdraw the petroleum from the bituminous rock, possibly to be how lower than the cost that they do mine directly? Moreover must establish the oil pipeline, refines factory anything, similarly is a huge investment. 页岩油的成本？这个问题,之前他们并没有仔细考虑。但是他们也都相信阿卜杜拉的话,从油页岩中提取石油,怎么可能比他们直接开采的成本低？而且要建立石油管道,还有提炼工厂什么的,同样是一笔巨大的投资。 Such average, their costs will be higher. If so, perhaps after this shale oil appears, will also make the crude oil the price stay at a high level! 这样平均下来,他们的成本会更高。如果是这样的话,说不定这个页岩油出现后,还会让原油的价格居高不下呢！ All people thought suddenly that yields on the shale oil, is not cannot matter. Comes out like the opec member nation such 1-2, they will also lift both hands welcome, the influence that like this they organize was bigger. 所有人忽然觉得,在页岩油上让步,也不是不可以的事儿。就像opec成员国多出来那么一两个,他们还会举双手欢迎呢,这样他们组织的影响力就更大了。 What this must vigorously develop the shale oil is the US, is the crude oil import first great nation, this makes them extremely be worried. If the output of this shale oil is big, later the US can not import from their here really? 只是这个要大力发展页岩油的是米国,是原油进口第一大国,这个让他们非常担心。如果这个页岩油的产量非常大,以后米国是不是真的就可以不从他们这儿进口了？ Heard that China also has this bituminous rock ore, Russia also has, European many countries have. If starts to make this shale oil, was self-sufficient, their status will definitely drop a big truncation. 还有听说华夏也有这个油页岩矿,俄罗斯也有,欧洲许多国家也都有。如果都开始弄这个页岩油的话,都自给自足了,他们的地位必然会下降一大截啊。 On for example Saudi Arabia, but now proper developed country, in developed country, various welfare benefit anything, is top, rich. 就比如沙特,现在可是妥妥的发达国家,就算在发达国家中,各种福利待遇什么的,也都是顶尖的,有钱嘛。 If the income drops, their many welfare benefits are unable to carry out, that possibly vacillates series ~ governed. 要是收入下降,他们的许多福利待遇将无法推行,那就可能动摇统~治了。 „Do we go to chat with other countries, restore the output? But they request us to increase production, this will perhaps create price plummet of crude oil.” Saying that some people worry about. “那我们去跟其他国家谈谈,恢复产量？可是他们要求我们增产啊,这样恐怕会造成原油的价格暴跌啊。”有人担忧的说道。 „Is unimportant, we only comply to increase production this year, so long as to next year on January 1, we can restrict production once more. Moreover the production increase lets the price fall of crude oil, happen to can prevent them to make this shale oil.” “不要紧,我们只答应今年增产,只要到了明年的一月一号,我们就可以再次限产。而且增产让原油的价格下降,正好可以阻止他们弄这个页岩油。” 50 US dollars one barrel of petroleums, are you worthwhile flowered 70 US dollars one barrel of production? That is not the brain is remnant! 有50美元一桶的石油,你们犯得着花70美元一桶生产吗？那不是脑残么！ „Right, happen to we use to increase production to talk to them that requesting them immediately to restore with our trades, and signs the long-term contract, guaranteed after us, no longer was threatened!” “对,正好我们用增产来跟他们谈,要求他们马上恢复与我们的贸易,并签订长期合同,保证我们以后不再受到威胁！” Everybody talked at once, after thinking drew back one step, but how can also gain the interests of oneself country. 大家七嘴八舌,都在想着退一步后,还能怎么争取自己国家的利益。 These days rising suddenly of crude price, made the economic pressures of many countries alleviate actually much. opec had Saudi Arabian such local tyrant, may have Iran and other countries to go into debt very many. 这段时间原油价格的猛涨,倒是让许多国家的经济压力缓解了不少。opec这边出了沙特这样的土豪,可还有伊朗等欠债非常多的呢。 Happen to now crude price rises suddenly, making their income rise suddenly, in addition pays off a debt in labor with some crude oil, eased their foreign loan pressure actually. 正好现在原油价格暴涨,让他们的收入暴涨,加上用一些原油抵债,倒是缓解了他们的外债压力。 If the crude oil can such high price, they already pay off the debt, and got rid of poverty to become prosperous! 要是原油能一直这么高的价格,他们早就还清债务,并脱贫致富了！ They are also clear, this is impossible. The crude oil breaks through 140 dollar / barrel now, this has surpassed the rational price absolutely. 他们也清楚,这是不可能的。原油现在都突破140美元/桶了,这绝对超过了理性的价格。 However they believe that later long time maintains over 80 US dollars prices, has the possibility very much. If the US and other countries produced the shale oil, said that does not permit the US also to pull the crude oil the price. 但是他们认为,以后长时间维持80美元以上的价格,很有可能。要是米国等生产页岩油了,说不准米国也会拉高原油的价格呢。 They discussed after the condition that some everybody can accept, starts to send the representative separately, and other crude oil import most country areas negotiated with the US, China, Japan, Russia, EU. 他们商量出一些大家都能接受的条件之后,开始分别派代表,跟米国、华夏、岛国、俄罗斯、欧盟等原油进口最多的国家地区谈判。 So long as they agreed that then matter was solved. 只要他们同意了,那么事情就算解决了。 Feng Yu is swimming in the swimming pool, hears the cell phone sound, he climbs up the shore, connects the call. 冯宇正在游泳池里游泳呢,听见手机响,他爬上岸,接通电话。 „Feng Yu, we are negotiating with the representatives in Saudi Arabia now, what the opposite party represents is the opec organization, they proposed a good condition, I look in less than several days, perhaps opec will announce that the crude oil restored even to increase the output!” “冯宇,现在我们正跟阿联酋的代表谈判呢,对方代表的是opec组织,他们提出了一个不错的条件,我看用不了几天,恐怕opec就会宣布原油恢复甚至增加产量了！” ...... ……
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