EG :: Volume #18

#1761: Breaks through 120

US dollar continues to fall, the petroleum market and gold market display are stronger, clashes high.? 美元持续下跌,原油市场和黄金市场表现更加强劲,一路冲高。? At this time, normally investment these people should be jubilant, but on the Soros face actually did not see the smiling face. 这时候,按说投资这些的人都应该喜气洋洋的,但是索罗斯脸上却不见笑容。 The gold rate rose 930 US dollars high price, Quantum Fund that he led, has made much money. 黄金价格涨到了930美元的高价,他带领的量子基金,赚了许多钱。 However he noticed that the price increase scope of crude oil is bigger, arrived at 119 US dollars time, could not smile on the basis. 但是他看到原油的价格涨幅更大,已经到了119美元的时候,就根本笑不出来了。 He was also thinking, this time can earn compared with Feng Yu and the others, making the Quantum Fund profit margin highest, he can also an achievement myth. 原本他还想着,这一次能够比冯宇等人赚得更多,让量子基金的利润率最高,他也就能成就一番神话。 After quitting while ahead, in the rivers and lakes will also be spreading his legend. 急流勇退之后,江湖中也会流传着他的传说。 However now looks like, although he has made a lot of money, but resembled him to turn once again sets off! 但是现在看来,虽然他赚了不少钱,但好像他又一次变成陪衬了！ Initially who can think that ope will reduce production? Crude oil so violent flushing high? 当初谁能想到,ope会减产？原油会如此猛烈的冲高？ At that time he thinks that his investment strategy did not have the issue completely, and bought spatial stockmarket in the Japan market, bought good that spatial stockmarket displayed in the London market, the gold rate was also similar to like that rise that he expected. 那时候他认为自己的投资策略完全没问题,并且在岛国市场沽空股市,在伦敦市场沽空股市都表现的不错,黄金价格也如同他预料的那般,不停的上涨。 Although this time he has not raised many funds, but the quantity are not few, after the fund that the Corporation fund, raises in addition makes money the commission, can let this time gain a big pen. 虽然这一次他没有筹集到更多的资金,但是数量也不算少,公司的资金,加上募集到的资金赚钱后的佣金,能让他这次赚一大笔。 But thinks that crude oil better investment had been missed by him, how keeps him from being happy. 可是一想到原油这个更好的投资被他错过了,就让他怎么都无法开心。 „Boss, can we change the investment crude oil?” Zhu agree Mill asked. “老板,我们要不要转向投资原油？”朱肯・米勒问道。 The matter of investment cannot set at air/Qi, should trade the direction time, certainly must trade. The increase scope of gold they estimated that was similar, most can also rise to 1000 US dollars. 投资的事情不能置气,该换方向的时候,肯定要换。黄金的涨幅他们估计已经差不多了,最多也就能涨到1000美元。 They must leave gold market, that might as well retreat while the present, enters the petroleum market, but can also make a sum of money. 本来他们就要离开黄金市场,那不如趁现在就撤退,进入原油市场,还能赚一笔钱。 „Zhu agree, you thinks that crude oil can break through 120 US dollars?” The Soros sinking sound asked. “朱肯,你认为原油有可能突破120美元吗？”索罗斯沉声问道。 „Should have big possibility, at this time that side ope any sound, other great nations silent have not said that in addition in the market pursues the rising mood to surge upward, the crude price breaks through 120 US dollars to have over 95% possibilities!” “应该有很大的可能,此时ope那边没有任何动静,其他大国也都沉默不言,加上市场上追涨情绪高涨,原油价格突破120美元有95以上的可能！” These are they after the detailed data analysis, in addition the analysis to policy shape, the accurate conclusion that results. 这些都是他们经过详细的数据分析,加上对一些政策形态的分析,得出来的准确结论。 „Then results analysis whether has included, after breaking through 120 US dollars, how many but can also rise?” “那么分析结果是否包括了,突破120美元之后,还能上涨多少？” This is most important, breaks through 120 US dollars him not to oppose, but must have a look at also many profit spaces. 这个才是最重要的,突破120美元他也不反对,但是要看看还有多少利润空间。 They make the hedge fund, if the profit space is big, naturally throws. But if the profit space is small, that might as well continue to sell short stockmarket of European and Asia, that side Hong Kong can also start. 他们是做对冲基金的,如果利润空间大,当然扑进去。但如果利润空间小,那不如继续卖空欧洲和亚洲的股市,香江那边也可以下手嘛。 „This is hard to determine, after we analyze believes that 120 US dollars is a very important line. After the breakthrough, various countries must certainly start the negotiations with ope, requesting them to resume production, even increases production.” “这个难以判定,我们分析后认为,120美元是一个很重要的线。突破之后,各国肯定要跟ope展开谈判,要求他们恢复生产,甚至增产。” „As the matter stands, the crude oil price will definitely fall, decline range temporarily also inestimable. More importantly, we do not know when this negotiated launches, when had the result.” “这样一来,原油的价格必然会下跌,跌幅暂时也不可估计。重要的是,我们不知道这个谈判什么时候展开,什么时候有结果。” „Moreover now including our US, is launching the economic sanctions to the ope member nation, there is a possibility, is the ope member nation compromises first, they negotiated on own initiative.” “而且现在包括我们米国在内,都在对ope的成员国展开经济制裁,也有可能,是ope的成员国先妥协,他们主动来谈判。” In the final analysis, the variable are too many, Zhu agree Mill they cannot bet. 说到底,变数太多,朱肯・米勒他们不能赌。 If only then a fund, for the profit of high quota, they can bet ~, but their these many funds, many are the money of investor, they cannot lose. 如果只有一点资金,为了高额的利润,他们可以赌~一下,但他们这么多资金,还有许多是投资者的钱,他们输不起。 Thinks initially when Asia mixed the wind and cloud, collapsing completely that finally lost. Not only all profits built, but also built the qualification much. 想想当初在亚洲搅动风云的时候,最后就输的一败涂地。不但所有利润都搭进去了,还将本钱也搭进去了不少。 That time, making Quantum Fund maintain many years of profit growth closures, making their vitality damage severely. Restored with great difficulty, they do not dare to take risk once more. 那一次,让量子基金保持了多年的利润增长断流,让他们元气大伤。好不容易恢复了,他们可不敢再次冒险。 If they had succeeded in the past, then the Quantum Fund reputation will be much higher than at this time the present, Soros ascends first year to shout, the fund that can raise was absolutely more than present. 如果他们当年成功了,那么此时量子基金的名头将比现在高得多,索罗斯登高一呼,能够募集到的资金绝对比现在多多了。 Because the fame slides, making the governance investment of Soros in overseas also passive, some vital information, too cannot obtain easily. 由于名气下滑,让索罗斯在海外的政~治投资也变得被动了许多,一些重要消息,不太能够轻易得到了。 Many news have the effectiveness, first knows that can get the biggest interests. But knows with other people together that was passive were too many, might eat to owe very much. 许多消息具有时效性,第一时间知道,就能获得最大的利益。而跟其他人一起知道,那就被动太多了,很有可能吃个大亏。 Soros thinks: „Gold rate 950 US dollars excessively, we finalize. Enters Japan stockmarket comprehensively, then the close investigation appraises Hong Kong stockmarket!” 索罗斯想了想:“黄金价格过950美元,我们就交割。全面进入岛国股市,然后让人详细调查评估香江股市！” Zhu agree Mill looked that Boss this has not forgotten the past hatred. Where falls, where wants to crawl. 朱肯・米勒一看,老板这是还没有忘记了当年的仇恨啊。在哪儿跌到,就想在哪儿爬起来。 Goes to that side Hong Kong, was not also with Feng to, Zhu agree always does not think that many confidence. 只是去香江那边,不是又跟冯对上了么,朱肯总是觉得没那么多信心。 In his opinion, now buys the crude oil to be also good, they make the hedge, the risk will not be big. However since Boss makes the decision, he will not refute. 在他看来,现在买原油也挺好的,他们做对冲,风险也不会太大。不过老板既然做出决定,他也不会反驳。 He only hopes that this time can steady making money, then wait for Boss to retire, he wields Quantum Fund! 他只希望这次能够稳稳的赚到钱,然后等着老板退休,他来执掌量子基金！ General Motors and other world almost all car(riage) business heads, are paying attention to the petroleum market. They do not hype crude oil future, but is the crude price rises, will burn the oil car to have the serious negative impact on them. 同用汽车等世界几乎所有的车企负责人,都在关注着原油市场。他们并不是炒作原油期货,而是原油价格上涨,会对他们烧油的汽车产生严重负面影响。 The oil price turns time also much, many person each month charge for oil disbursements of must turn time, plans to buy the person of car(riage), because perhaps this point will no longer buy. 油价翻倍还多,许多人每个月的油钱支出要翻倍,一些计划买车的人,恐怕会因为这一点不再买了啊。 Their many car(riage) business are transnational big Corporation, has certain influence to the upper formation. They know that above with ope and other negotiations, the request opposite party is resuming production, even increases production. 他们许多车企都是跨国大公司,对上层也有一定的影响力。他们都知道,上头在跟ope等交涉,要求对方恢复生产,甚至增产。 Which step the negotiations are held, no one knows. These big Corporation high levels, were inquiring. 谈判进行到哪一步,谁都不知道。那些大公司的高层,都在打听呢。 But at this time, Feng Yu actually very leisurely and carefree fishes in the Hong Kong here sea. Just came back from the US, Feng Yu can also relax. 而这时候,冯宇却很悠闲的在香江这边海钓。刚刚从米国回来,冯宇也可以放松一下。 that side ope has any trend, opening China that is impossible to circle. Therefore China Government, definitely is the earliest possible time receives the message, but this news, meets first informs Feng Yu. ope那边有什么动向,都不可能绕的开华夏。所以华夏政斧,肯定是第一时间收到消息的,而这个消息,也会第一时间通知冯宇。 The crude price will definitely break through 120 US dollars, and continues to rise to 140 US dollars. 原油价格肯定会突破120美元,并且继续上涨到140美元。 At this time Feng Yu regarding crude oil whether to break through 140 US dollars not to grasp, does not know the progress of negotiations. However has not risen to 140 US dollars line nearby time, both sides will both not compromise. 此时冯宇对于原油能否突破140美元并没有把握,不知道谈判的进展。但是没有涨到140美元线附近的时候,双方谁都不会妥协的。 This is not little small benefit, regarding the ope organization, concerns their country most important interests. To China, US, Japan and other crude oil import great nations, is very important, otherwise they will not carry on the economic sanctions to these countries together, trade sanction. 这不是一点点的小利益,对于ope组织来说,关乎到他们国家最重要的利益。对于华夏、米国、岛国等原油进口大国来说,也是非常重要的,否则他们也不会一起对那些国家进行经济制裁,贸易制裁。 But is this, the ope organization more cannot instigate. Once they have instigated, then, will not have the right to speak again. At least this shale oil, must restrict production, otherwise they absolutely will not increase production! 但越是这样,ope组织越不能怂。一旦他们怂了,那么以后将再没有话语权了。至少这个页岩油,必须限产,否则他们就绝对不会增产！ When the seesaw battle continues to carry on, the international crude oil broke through 120 US dollars quietly! 在拉锯战持续进行的时候,国际原油悄然的突破了120美元！ ...... 8 ……8
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