EG :: Volume #15

#1498: Cannot fry the crude oil ( 1 / 10 )

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It looks like in Kirilenko, Iran was punished, then the crude oil output must certainly reduce, the crude price rises, that is inevitable. 在基里连科看来,伊朗被制裁,那么原油产量肯定要减少,原油价格上涨,那是必然的啊。 In fact now crude oil price, truly is rising, two months, rose 70 US dollars from more than 50 US dollars, this was quick. 事实上现在原油的价格,也确实在上涨,两个月时间,从50多美元涨到了70美元,这多快啊。 If uses ten times of financial leverage, that can have two times of profits! 要是用上十倍杠杆的话,那能有两倍的利润呢！ Two months, two times of profits, such investment is amasses money simply, why doesn't do? Before has missed, now cannot miss again. 两个月时间,两倍利润,这样的投资简直就是抢钱啊,为什么不做？之前错过了,现在可不能再错过。 „Brother Ki, do you favor the crude oil? Your manager, suggested that you do buy the crude oil to rise?” Feng Yu frowns to ask. “基兄,你看好原油？你的经纪人,也建议你买原油上涨？”冯宇皱着眉头问道。 „That actually, my manager suggested I invest U.S. Stockmarket, said that now will be any quotation, stockmarket definitely will continue to rise. However stock profit how many, where has the crude oil to make money?” “那倒不是,我的经纪人还是建议我投资米国股市,说现在是什么多头行情,股市肯定会继续上涨。但是股票的利润才多少啊,哪儿有原油赚钱？” „You think that initially you led me to buy the crude oil future, how much money have we made? The crude oil profit is much high, the stock rose too slowly.” “你想想,当初你带着我买原油期货,我们赚了多少钱？原油的利润多高啊,股票涨得太慢了。” Although Kirilenko is not short of money, but does he also want to surpass Bill in the property? Gates. Although the investment stock also makes money, but the speed was too slow, the Microsoft stock price is also rising, although rises these days quite slowly, but the base number is big. 虽然基里连科不差钱,但是他可是还想在资产上超过比尔?盖茨呢。投资股票虽然也赚钱,但是速度太慢了,微软的股价也在上涨啊,虽然这段时间涨得比较慢,但基数大啊。 If the crude oil can make a profit, he planned that also reassigns the fund of gold market, stockmarket also reassigns, was turned time by own property at one fell swoop, then at least can be more similar than Buffett. 如果原油能获利的话,他打算将黄金市场的资金也抽调出来,股市的也抽调出来,一举让自己的资产翻倍,那么至少就能比巴菲特差不多了。 1-2 years, make a profit along with their other investments again, other Company go on the market, does he surpass Bill? Gates was not the dream. 再有一两年,随着他们的其他投资获利,还有其他企业上市,他超过比尔?盖茨就不是梦了。 „Your manager is good, if he suggested that you buy the rising crude oil, then I should suggest that you changed a chief manager.” Feng Yu relaxed, that manager is not too stupid. “你的经纪人还算不错,如果是他建议你买涨原油,那么我就该建议你换一个首席经纪人了。”冯宇松了口气,那个经纪人还不算太笨。 Kirilenko in great surprise: „Why? Does your unattractive crude oil rise? You think that this time will follow one time to be the same, does the crude price drop sharply? We sold short on the line reverse, same made money!” 基里连科大惊:“为什么？你也不好看原油上涨？难道你认为这次会跟上一次一样,原油价格大跌？那我们反向卖空就行了啊,一样赚钱！” Feng Yu patted own forehead, Brother Ki this has thought too simply the issue, in fact this petroleum market, Feng Yu looked that was not quite accurate. 冯宇拍了拍自己的脑门,基兄这把问题想得太简单了啊,事实上这次原油市场,冯宇是看不太准。 The main reason, is governance! 主要的原因,就是政~治！ „Brother Ki, I give you to analyze. The present is everybody joins up, must punish Iran. If Iran adopts the way resistance of petroleum under-production, then the income of their country can the sharp decline. But Iran is not the world first oil producing country, is not stronger than your Russia and our China.” “基兄,我给你分析一下啊。现在是大家联合起来,要制裁伊朗。如果伊朗采取石油减产的方式抗争,那么他们国家的收入就会锐减。而伊朗并不是世界第一的产油大国,比你们俄罗斯和我们华夏也不强。” „Let alone also has the US, Saudi Arabia and other countries, the oil offtake is very big. Although the crude oil rises, seems like serves the interests of our these oil producing country, we should support. However if you think, our consumption big.” “更何况还有米国、沙特等其他国家,产油量都很大。虽然原油上涨,看似符合我们这些产油大国的利益,我们应该支持。但是你要想想,我们消耗量有多大。” „car industry growth is getting more and more rapid, the petrochemical industry development is also getting more and more rapid, then is also naturally big regarding the consumption of crude oil. Is the US also has our China likely, is the oil importer, the crude oil rises in prices, we are owe.” “汽车行业发展越来越快,石油化工产业发展也越来越快,那么对于原油的消耗量自然也就大。像是米国还有我们华夏,都是石油进口国,原油涨价,我们就是亏的。” „European these countries, except for your Russia, owe. I acknowledged that Russia is very formidable, but can he a country resist all? This investigation, your didn't Russia agree?” “欧洲那些国家,除了你们俄罗斯,都是亏的。我承认俄罗斯很强大,但是他能一个国家对抗所有吗？这次的调查,你们俄罗斯不是也同意了？” „Crude price, although these two months rose, but are quick, will be suppressed. When however suppresses specifically, suppresses to any situation, this involves upper-level governance, very difficult assurance to be accurate.” “原油价格虽然这两个月上涨了一些,但是很快,就会被打压下去。不过具体什么时候打压,打压到什么地步,这涉及到上层的政~治,很难把握准确。” „Moreover suppresses, ruthless that too also will not suppress, should make the crude price in 50 to about 60 US dollars pace back and forth, therefore the profit space is not really big.” “而且就算打压下去,也不会打压的太狠,应该还是让原油价格在50到60美元左右徘徊,所以利润空间真的不大。” The crude price maintains stable, serves the interests of various great nations, the rise is too fierce, or falls is too fierce, is not good, they will not permit. 原油价格保持稳定,才符合各大国的利益,无论是上涨太猛,或者是下跌太猛,都不行,他们都不会允许的。 These great nations collaborate, these petroleums will produce the country also definitely to coordinate, will only remain an Iran, what can they jump da? 这些大国联手,那些石油产国也肯定会配合,只剩一个伊朗,他们能蹦跶什么？ Also Iran dares to make the petroleum reduce production, then other countries dare to close off the marketing channel in Iran. Iraq that approaches during US's control, Iran will fall into the economic crisis. 再说伊朗敢真的让石油减产,那么其他国家就敢封锁伊朗的销售渠道。临近的伊拉克又在米国的掌控之中,伊朗将陷入经济危机。 When Iranian commitment no longer makes nucleus ~ has studied, when can return to truly normal. 什么时候伊朗承诺不再做核~研究了,什么时候才能真正恢复平静。 Now has nucleus ~ military country, does not want more people involved again. Even these great nations including the nuclear power station, do not have the national construction of nuclear foundation in these, for fear that the opposite party studies anything. 现在拥有核~武的国家,都不想再有更多的人加入其中。甚至这些大国连核电站,都不在这些没有核基础的国家建造,生怕对方研究出来什么。 This is a very simple technological embargo mentality, looked like studies the vanguard technology, but does not want to make other Company study to be the same, this can get the biggest interests. 这是一种很简单的技术封锁心态,就像是一些研究出了先进技术,但不想让别的企业研究出来一样,这样才能获得最大的利益。 Said that China the military power was so weak in the past, turned into secure ~ pays attention to permanent country? Also is not because China had nucleus ~ can weapon, pose the significant threat to other countries? 就说华夏当年军事力量那么弱,怎么变成了安~理会常任国？还不是因为华夏拥有了核~武器,能对其他国家造成重大威胁？ But at that time China was also strong, has experienced the veteran of war ~ the armed forces still, outward also unite. Although certainly was punished economically, but China slowly rose. 而那时候华夏又非常强硬,一些经历过大战的老将~军都还在,对外也团结一心。虽然在经济上受到了一定的制裁,但是华夏还是慢慢的崛起了。 Now China became one of the world top powerful nations, in many aspects, is in the world to be in the lead, is many data is counted in average, that ended. 现在华夏已经成为世界顶尖强国之一,在多种方面,都处于世界领先,就是很多数据一算上人均,那就完了。 However regarding the matter of influence world setup, the US and other countries also has to request the support of China. 不过对于影响世界格局的事情,米国等也不得不请求华夏的支持了。 „Feng, won't this crude price, have the too big fluctuation really?” Kirilenko some are not willingly, this cannot gain greatly, when can he surpass Bill? Gates! “冯,这原油价格,真的不会有太大的波动？”基里连科有些不甘心,这个不能大赚,他什么时候才能超过比尔?盖茨啊！ „Brother Ki, if will have very clear quotation, I can not invest? My fund, may also on the gold and stockmarket.” Feng Yu saying with a laugh. “基兄,如果真的会有很清晰的行情,我会不投资吗？我的资金,可还在黄金和股市上。”冯宇笑呵呵的说道。 „But the gold rose to 450 US dollars at the end of last year, now falls 420 US dollars, our these months do not have many profits.” The Kirilenko expression, like is a resentful woman. “可是去年底黄金都涨到450美元了,现在又跌回了420美元,我们这几个月根本没多少利润。”基里连科的语气,像是一个怨妇一样。 „Brother Ki, I told you, the gold long-line was expected to rise. In the short-term, your manager should momentarily give you to adjust the shipping space is right? You said that expressed that even if the gold fell, you have the profit is right?” “基兄,我只是告诉你,黄金长线看涨。短期内,你的经纪人应该随时给你调整仓位对吧？你这么说,就表示即使黄金下跌了,你还是有利润的对不对？” „Moreover you think that this many person starts with you are an idea, planned that reassigns the stockmarket fund, invests into the futures market. However they discovered that what the crude oil future does not have to fluctuate, does not have the big fund inflow or flows out, they do not dare to enter, what to do did you say this sum of money to be able?” The Feng Yu prompt said. “而且你想想,这次很多人开始跟你是一个想法,打算将股市的资金抽调出来,投入到期货市场。但是他们发现原油期货没什么波动,没有大笔资金流入或者流出的时候,他们也不敢进,你说这笔钱会怎么办？”冯宇提示道。 „What to do? With the investment stock, or invests other stocks again. Wait / Etc., you were said that our gold can rise sharply once more? Said that stockmarket can rise sharply?” Kirilenko responded. “怎么办？拿回去重新投资股票,或者是投资其他的期货呗。等等,你是说我们的黄金要再次大涨了？还是说股市要大涨？”基里连科反应过来了。 „This I believe that will rise. But whether will rise sharply, I cannot determine. Therefore my fund, but also places on the golden futures market and U.S. Stockmarket, in three years, the golden price may turn time very much!” “这个我认为,都会涨。但是否会大涨,我不敢确定。所以我的资金,还放在黄金期货市场和米国股市上,三年内,黄金的价格很有可能翻倍！” Can turn time very much? But Kirilenko familiar Feng Yu turn of expression , he since said that may turn time very much, then probability absolutely over 80%! 很有可能翻倍？基里连科可是熟悉冯宇的表达方式,他既然说很有可能翻倍,那么几率绝对超过80！ Had not said that this money continued to invest the gold and stock. As for the petroleum, whom likes investing who invests! 没说的,这钱继续投资黄金和股票了。至于石油,爱谁投资谁投资去吧！ ...... …… ps: Today ten( to be continued.) ps:今天十更(未完待续。)
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