The insider trading is still continuing, the casualty report of European war came out finally. Without a doubt, the warring parties are the loss are serious, war frigidly for unprecedented in history. 台前幕后的内幕交易还在继续,欧陆战争的伤亡报告终于出炉了。毫无疑问,交战双方都是损失惨重,战争之惨烈为历史之最。 According to the statistics of Vienna government, this war directly caused the continental Europe population to drop 12 million. Besides 4 million that the immigrant leaves, remaining dies of the war. 根据维也纳政府的统计,这次战争直接导致欧洲大陆人口下降了一千二百万。除了移民离开的四百万外,剩下的都是死于战争。 Statistics: 统计数据: And an anti-France coalition side soldier died in battle 2.377 million people, civilian death 1.92 million people. The specific data is as follows: 其中反法同盟一方士兵阵亡237.7万人,平民死亡192万人。具体数据如下: Austria benefits: The soldiers died in battle 742,000 people, the civilian death 28,000 people ;( Including colony war) 奥地利:士兵阵亡74.2万人,平民死亡2.8万人;(包括殖民地战争) German federation: The soldiers died in battle 582,000 people, the civilian death 587,000 people ; 德意志联邦:士兵阵亡58.2万人,平民死亡58.7万人; Belgium: The soldiers died in battle 273,000 people, the civilian death 556,000 people ; 比利时:士兵阵亡27.3万人,平民死亡55.6万人; Spain: The soldiers died in battle 21,000 people ;( Civilian death ignored) 西班牙:士兵阵亡2.1万人;(平民死亡忽略不计) Switzerland: The soldiers died in battle 0.6 people ;( Civilian death ignored) 瑞士:士兵阵亡0.6万人;(平民死亡忽略不计) Sardinia kingdom: The soldiers died in battle 176,000 people, the civilian death 465,000 people ;( Including guerrilla force and place revolt military equipment) 撒丁王国:士兵阵亡17.6万人,平民死亡46.5万人;(包括游击队、地方起义武装) ...... …… France: The soldiers died in battle 3.206 million people, colonized the regiment dead in battle 1.368 million people, the Italian soldiers died in battle 417,000 people, the local soldier died in battle 1.421 million people, the civilian death 886,000 people.( Including civil war) 法兰西:士兵阵亡320.6万人,其中殖民军团阵亡136.8万人,意大利士兵阵亡41.7万人,本土士兵阵亡142.1万人,平民死亡88.6万人。(包括内战) Looks in the hand a groups of ice-cold data, Franz is sighing. Is slightly short besides the duration , of a war wars frigid not weak original space and time. 看着手中一组组冰冷的数据,弗朗茨叹了一口气。除了持续时间略短外,战争之惨烈丝毫不弱原时空的一战。 Especially the civilian casualty population, is the war of ultra original space and time. Besides broad that the battle region spreads, what is more important is the action for ejection causes. 尤其是平民伤亡人数,更是远超原时空的一战。除了交战区域蔓延的广外,更重要的还是驱逐行动导致的。 Even if the Vienna government first took the salvage operation, cannot cut many mortality rate. 即便是维也纳政府第一时间采取了救助行动,也没有能够将死亡率降低多少。 The old, weak, sick, and disabled cannot withstand to toss about, many body insufficiently strong people, fell on the fleeing from calamity half-way, accepted the rescue radically without enough time. 老弱病残经不起折腾,很多身体不够强壮的民众,都倒在了逃难的半道上,根本就来不及接受救助。 Statistics was also only the European on civilian death population. If calculated the civilian death population of colony, the final digit may also turn time. 统计的还只是欧陆上的平民死亡人数。如果计算上殖民地的平民死亡人数,最终的数字可能还会翻倍。 Casualty so many, casualties not to mention. Because the casualties number of times can accumulate, is easy to present the redundant statistics, in any case not possible accurate, Vienna government also being disinclined was this time-comsuming. 死亡人数都这么多,伤亡就更不用说了。因为伤亡次数可以累计,容易出现重复统计,反正都不可能准确,维也纳政府也懒得费这个工夫了。 After half loud time, Franz sighs with emotion: „Judging from the present situation, France basically was waste! If no accident/surprise, in 30 years they do not want to recover.” 半响功夫后,弗朗茨感慨道:“从目前的情况来看,法兰西基本上算是废了！如果不发生意外,三十年内他们都不要想恢复元气。” Regardless of , on the one hand, the French present situation, be more miserable than the original space and time. 无论从哪一方面来看,法国人现在的处境,都要比原时空更惨。 Original space and time fights them, although the similar loss is serious, but France is a victorious nation, attained the war dividend, the colony and native place have not lost. 原时空的一战他们虽然同样损失惨重,但法兰西是战胜国,拿到了战争红利,殖民地和本土都没有损失。 Now is different, is not only the loss is serious, but also compensated the complete net worth, will then wait for their is the long repaying a debt profession. 现在就不一样了,不光是损失惨重,还赔上了全部的身家,接下来等待他们的将是漫长的还债生涯。 Even to imitate the virtue three bath hot rebirths, France does not have the capital of revival. The economy of domestic collapse was needless saying that the population that most critically they revived did not have. 就算是想要效仿德三浴火重生,法兰西也不具备复兴的资本。国内崩溃的经济就不用说了,更关键的是他们连复兴的人口都没有。 As the lead of European war, the population loss of France may be big. Directly light/only died Gundam/reaches as high as 2 million, the disabled population estimate will not compare this to lower many. In addition the immigrant leaves, this number was huger. 作为欧陆战争的主角,法兰西的人口损失可不小。光直接死亡的就高达两百万,伤残的人数估计也不会比这低多少。加上移民离开的,这个数字就更庞大了。 Estimated by the experience, Franz can conclude the labor force of France must present the fault/chasm, particularly the masculine labor force lacks suddenly. 凭借经验估计,弗朗茨就可以断定法兰西的劳动力要出现断层了,尤其是男性劳动力急剧缺乏。 These problem solves, in future a long time, the population of France will fall into the negative growth. 这些问题解决不了,在未来很长一段时间里,法兰西的人口都会陷入负增长。 This point, having a look at the Russia person in next door to know. Is the European first proportion of births to population great nation, finally after going through several wars, the proportion of births to population drops with great speed, even once had the negative growth. 这一点,看看隔壁的俄国人就知道了。原本是欧陆第一人口出生率大国,结果在经历了几次战争过后,人口出生率火速下降,甚至一度出现了负增长。 Russian bear can recover consciousness in just several years, that is the birth enthusiasm of Russia person is high, the French People do not crave in making one. 毛熊能够在短短数年之内缓过来,那是俄国人的生育积极性高,法国民众可不热衷于造人。 If the economy cannot do, was supposing the post-war French proportion of births to population will reach the record low. 要是经济搞不起来,估摸着战后的法兰西人口出生率会创下历史新低。 A speed of population growth of original space and time post-war France, had the reference, 20 years increased 1 million people. Population growth that after removing the immigration brings, the growth rate of population of France directly is the negative number. 原时空一战后法兰西的人口增长速度,就非常具有参考性,二十年时间就增加了一百万人。在刨除移民带来的人口增长之后,法兰西的人口增长率直接是负数。 In industrial 2.0 time, if the labor shortage, that anything do not think. The Austria advantage can become the world's first economic power, depended is the population of ultra competitor. 在工业2.0的时代,要是劳动力不足,那就啥也不要想。奥地利能够成为世界第一经济强国,靠的就是远超竞争对手的人口。 If Austria benefits with France is the same, fell into the population bottle diameter in the 19 th century, how even if Franz goes all out again, cannot toss about a big empire. 要是奥地利和法兰西一样,在十九世纪就陷入了人口瓶径,就算是弗朗茨再怎么卖力,也折腾不出一个大帝国来。 „ Some French family properties, so long as ended this war, getting down that they maintain. “法国人还是有些家底的,只要结束了这场战争,他们还是维持的下去。 Now what is most miserable was Belgium and just various independent Italian state, their economies collapsed in the war completely, from head to tail mess. 现在最惨的是比利时和刚刚独立的意大利各邦国,他们的经济在战争中完全崩溃,彻头彻尾一个烂摊子。 If not we supports, they have had an empty stomach. To recover the economy, the difficulty is as good conducts a European war again. ” 如果不是我们支援,他们早就饿肚子了。想要恢复经济,难度不亚于再进行一场欧陆战争。” Can look, Prime Minister Carl now unusual headache. Going to war time, naturally is ally many good, closes in definitely the ratio independent combat to profit. 看得出来,卡尔首相现在非常的头疼。打仗的时候,自然是盟友多的好,一拥而上肯定比单打独斗占便宜。 The war ended, the situation was entirely different. No matter how said, everyone is in a trench has also squatted. Has shouldered a rifle together, has bled together. The little brother could not mix to seek help, did not draw one not to can really be justified. 战争结束了,情况就截然不同了。不管怎么说,大家也是一个战壕里蹲过的。一起扛过枪,一起流过血。小弟混不下去了来求助,不拉一把实在是说不过去。 drawing one does not have the issue, the key is this is not one can draw. The wound that the war leaves behind is too big, Belgium, is various Italian state, now is poor and blank. 拉一把没问题,关键是这不是一把就能够拉起来的。战争留下的创伤太大,无论是比利时,还是意大利各邦国,现在都是一穷二白。 When can be self-sufficient, this issue who cannot reply. In any case few year of times, do not want to catch one's breath. 什么时候能够自给自足,这个问题谁回答不上来。反正没有几年功夫,是不要想缓过气来。 As the biggest victor of war, the outside world only saw scenery that Austria benefits, no one knows in the pouch of Vienna government shy. 作为战争的最大胜利者,外界只看到了奥地利的风光,谁也不知道维也纳政府的囊中羞涩。 Although the war ended, but the debt of Austria Libyan government in sudden increasing. The domestic aftermath asked for money, reconstructs the Rhineland area to ask for money, unifies the German area to ask for money, supports the little brother still to ask for money. 战争虽然结束了,但是奥地利政府的债务还是在急剧攀升中。国内善后工作要钱,重建莱茵兰地区要钱,统一德意志地区还是要钱,扶持小弟仍然要钱。 Withstood/Top one „hegemon” the reputation, the confidence of capital market to Austria Libyan government promoted an unprecedented situation, the Vienna government present range financial crisis is not far. 要不是顶了一个“霸主”的名头,资本市场对奥地利政府的信心提升到了一个前所未有的地步,维也纳政府现在距离财政危机已经不远了。 Franz rubbed the forehead: „ Cannot give money directly. The war had ended, they must learn independently. After the Vienna peace conference ended, lays cards on the table with them. 弗朗茨揉了揉额头:“不能直接给钱了。战争已经结束了,他们必须要学会独立。等维也纳和会结束后,就和他们摊牌。 To receive the fund, defers to the market rule. We can give them the issue debentures, can for their issue debentures, but the interest must be decided by the market. ” 想要获得资金,就按照市场规则来。我们可以给他们发行债券,也可以替他们发行债券,不过利息要由市场决定。” In fact, the aid that the Austria advantage provides is not always free. The fund of but compared with the capital market, the Vienna government providing, is the highest conscience of capital. 事实上,奥地利提供的援助从来都不是无偿的。只不过和资本市场相比,维也纳政府提供的资金,都是资本的最高良心。 „Interest-free loan”, and does not have of supplemental condition, creditor who the entire world could not find such conscience again. “无息贷款”,并且还是没有附加条件的那种,全世界再也找不到这么良心的债主了。 However this type „conscience” has the time limit. In time of war to attack French, the Vienna government naturally was full of „conscience”. Now the war ended, „conscience” was also consumed up. 不过这种“良心”是有时间限制的。战争时期为了打击法国人,维也纳政府自然是充满了“良心”。现在战争结束了,“良心”也被消耗光了。 Said frankly, if before is not , the bank note prints many, in addition the repayment capability of worry various countries, even if continues to lend the interest-free loan still to might as well. 坦率的说,如果不是之前票子印得太多,加上担心各国的还款能力,就算是持续发放无息贷款也无妨。 After all, makes loans is an aegis, is not the gold. Since took the aegis, then the post-war reconstruction of various countries could not leave Austria to benefit. 毕竟,放贷出去的都是神盾,又不是黄金。既然拿了神盾,那么各国的战后重建就离不开奥地利了。 Through the trade method, these money majorities will backflow to come back, the economic development that promoting Austria to benefit, the Vienna government do not owe. 通过贸易手段,这些钱大部分还是会回流到回来,促进奥地利的经济发展,维也纳政府并不亏。 It is a pity that in time of war, the Vienna government had started the money printing machine, the aegis that now in the market circulates is somewhat surplus. 遗憾的是在战争时期,维也纳政府已经开动了印钞机,现在市场上流通的神盾已经有些过剩了。 Plays again, obviously was inopportune. If by some chance which link has the problem, the inflation is divided minute's of matter. 再这么玩儿,就明显是不合时宜了。万一哪个环节出现问题,通货膨胀就是分分钟的事情。 For the currency value of the stable price and aegis, the Vienna government also has to think in the means recycling market the surplus bill, for example: Provides the bond. 为了稳定物价和神盾的币值,维也纳政府也不得不想办法回收市场上过剩的钞票,比如说:发放债券。 Under this situation, the debt of Vienna government naturally increases day by day. However compared with the currency hegemony of aegis, this price is not worth mentioning. 在这种背景下,维也纳政府的债务自然是与日俱增。不过和神盾的货币霸权相比,这点儿代价就不值得一提了。 After all, now also competitor- „pound”, but also is far from recklessly the unseemly behavior time. 毕竟,现在还有一个竞争对手-“英镑”,还远远没有到肆意妄为的时候。 Economy minister Rinehart reminded: „ Your majesty, the present information is special. Because of the reason of war, the repayment capabilities of state governments to Belgium and various Italian is skeptical. 经济大臣莱因哈特提醒道:“陛下,现在的情报非常特殊。因为战争的缘故,外界对比利时和意大利各邦国政府的还款能力都持怀疑态度。 French default and German federation that default in addition just blew out, was more exciting the capital market, now the market whole is at the discrete condition. 加上刚刚爆出的法国债务违约、德意志联邦债务违约事件,更是刺激到了资本市场,现在市场整体处于偏谨慎状态。 Only if we provide the credit guarantee for them, otherwise they are unable to obtain financing in the capital market. 除非我们替他们提供信用担保,要不然他们是无法在资本市场上获得融资的。 This inside risk is big, according to the data analysis that we collect, the possibility that Belgium and various Italian state have the default Gundam/reaches as high as 90%. ” 这里面的风险非常大,根据我们搜集到的资料分析,比利时和意大利各邦国发生债务违约的可能性高达百分之九十。” Circling is prepared early, knows that this is a business of high risk. However after hearing „90% violation possibilities”, frightened Franz to jump. 绕是早有准备,知道这是一笔高风险的买卖。但是听到“百分之九十的违约可能性”后,还是吓了弗朗茨一跳。 Gambling does not bring to play, no wonder in the capital market nobody will ask. 赌博都不带这么玩儿的,难怪资本市场上无人问津了。 The Austria advantage provides the guarantee, the possibility of violation Gundam/reaches as high as 90% ; If changes into the ordinary financial institution, that default probability is not 100%. 奥地利提供担保,违约的可能性都高达百分之九十;要是换成普通的金融机构,那违约概率还不就是百分之百。 Slightly hesitant, Franz decided to take this risk. After all is the ally, the Vienna government cannot look that they die! 略微犹豫了一下,弗朗茨还是决定承担这笔风险。毕竟都是盟友,维也纳政府也不能看着他们去死啊！ If really this group of little brothers were finished, supports the little brother again, who can guarantee the new government, will also continue to carry out the Pro-Austria policy. If by some chance were flickered to run by the English, the loss that Austria benefits must greatly. 真要是这帮小弟完蛋了,再重新扶持小弟,谁能够保证新一届政府,还会继续执行亲奥政策。万一被英国人忽悠跑了,奥地利的损失就大得去了。