HRE :: Volume #10

#968: Puzzled......


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Made the British government anxious not only international situation, with the economic problem that it followed. 令英国政府揪心的不仅仅只有国际局势,还有与之伴随的经济问题。 If as expected, the market that the French withdraws from, the metropolis was benefitted the industry and commerce product to replace by Austria, Britain can only pick remnant thick soup cold roast/broil. 如果不出意外的话,法国人退出的市场,大都会被地利工商业制品所取代,不列颠只能捡点儿残羹冷炙。 Powerhouse is permanent the law also to be here suitable. Its Austria benefits is industrial hegemon, now captures the market of French, the domestic industry and commerce will further definitely develop. “强者恒强”的定律在这里同样适用。本身地利就是工业霸主,现在又夺取了法国人的市场,国内的工商业肯定会进一步发展。 Slightly a little general knowledge knows, the industry and commerce product is more costs of production is lower, the market competitiveness is also stronger. 稍微有点儿常识的就知道,工商业制品是生产的越多成本就越低,市场竞争力也就越强。 The market is so big, the industry and commerce that Austria benefits further develops, can have the competition with Britain inevitably. 市场就这么大,地利的工商业进一步发展,势必会和不列颠产生竞争。 Other areas did not say, Britain in the market share of Europe, definitely will at least be extruded. 其它地区不说,至少不列颠在欧洲的市场份额,肯定会受到挤压。 The market retracts, the profit of enterprise will also drop, puts into money of the producer research and development and promotion also to reduce, this will be a vicious circle. 市场萎缩,企业的利润随之下降,投入产品研发、推广的钱也会随之减少,这是一个恶性循环。 Naturally, these are the long-term issues, Britain has the entire world richest most and populous colony, in a short time can support. 当然,这些都是长远问题,不列颠有全世界最富庶的殖民地,短时间内是撑得住的。 Slowly at the worst the economic transformation, gives up the profit meager manufacturing industry, vigorously develops the financial industry and service industry. The original space and time did, now naturally. 大不了慢慢经济转型,放弃利润微薄的制造业,大力发展金融业、服务业。原时空都这么干了,现在自然也可以。 The long-term issue is next, or is one after next, no matter what matter, Gladstone is not worthwhile for them worries, present trouble enough he has a headache. 长远的问题是下一任,或者是下下任的事情,格莱斯顿犯不着替他们操心,眼下的麻烦就够他头疼的了。 As the world's first finance empire, naturally must have lends money at high interest. Everyone knows that plays the finance, is the lords of bold moral integrity broken place. 作为世界第一金融帝国,自然少不了放高利贷。谁都知道玩儿金融的,都是胆大包天节操碎地的主。 So long as the benefit is big enough, no matter risk big, some people will do. 只要利益足够大,甭管风险有多大,都会有人干。 Britain of esteem free economy, the government does not interfere with the private loan. In the European war, naturally must have this group of speculators. 推崇自由经济的不列颠,政府又不干涉民间借贷。欧陆战争中,自然少不了这帮投机者。 Some person of blood gain, some people of blood owe. Since the end of European war, the financial group of gamble French government, is locked now. 有人血赚,就有人血亏。随着欧陆战争的结束,押注法国政府的金融团体,现在就被套牢了。 If were the money of financial group is locked, Gladstone will only hold the champagne celebration, will not manage these vampires the lives. 如果是财团的钱被套牢了,格莱斯顿只会开香槟庆祝,根本就不会管这些吸血鬼的死活。 Very regrettable, the vampires are very astute, has carefully planned the script, the profit is own, loses money to collect from the folk. 很遗憾,吸血鬼们都很精明,早就精心策划好了剧本,获利是自家的,亏本就是从民间募集的。 Ended from the European war now, Britain has over 300 financial institutions to announce the bankruptcy, threw the mess to the government directly. 从欧陆战争结束到现在,不列颠已经有超过三百家金融机构宣布破产,直接将烂摊子扔给了政府。 Dunning is not possible, judging from the present situation, the French government is even rich, was still plundered by the anti-France coalition cleanly. Was supposing in dozens years, was not possible to fulfill this debt. 讨债是不可能的,从目前的情况来看,法国政府就算是有钱,也被反法同盟搜刮干净了。估摸着数十年内,是不可能履行这笔债务了。 The bad debts of French have not processed with enough time, the German federation blew out the default, again to the London government blow to the head. 法国人的烂账还没有来得及处理,德意志联邦又爆出了债务违约,再次给伦敦政府当头一棒。 This time may not only be the private loan, many loans of, the British government provided the safe endorsement. 这次可不光是民间借贷,其中的不少贷款,还是英国政府提供了安全背书的。 Without the means that the German federal government announced the bankruptcy. Others to save expense, even abolished embassy in London, entrusted the business to the Austria Libyan embassy in London handled. 没办法,德意志联邦政府宣布破产了。人家为了节省经费开销,甚至撤销了驻伦敦使馆,将业务委托给了地利驻伦敦使馆办理。 It is not the German federal government intentionally repudiating a debt, they truly do not have money now. Following state does not turn in the tax revenue, the central subordinate area was beaten, the government lost the total revenue, the public officials wage wants the Austria advantage to pay, let alone rendered back the money. 不是德意志联邦政府故意“赖账”,他们现在确实是没钱。下面的邦国都不上缴税收,中央直属区又被打烂了,政府丧失了全部收入,就连公职人员薪水都要地利垫付,更别说还钱了。 Settles accounts close to the end of the year, the government cannot draw cash to fulfill the debt, can only choose the bankrupt violation. 临近年底结算,政府拿不出钱来履行债务,只能选择破产违约。 In fact, bankruptcy also not, only then German federation. The native place makes into the white background the Belgian government, similarly announced the bankruptcy at this time. 事实上,破产的还不只有德意志联邦一家。老家打成白地的比利时政府,同样在这个时候宣布破产。 Without money does not have money, does not bring to install poorly. Others do not aim at Britain alone, but is all debts breaks a contract together. But Britain borrows most, becomes the biggest victim. 没钱就是没钱,都不带装穷的。人家又不是单独针对不列颠,而是所有的债务一起违约。只不过不列颠借出去的最多,成为了最大的受害者。 „Did Belgian and German governments give the view?” “比德两国政府给出说法了么?” French government Gladstone neglected directly, obviously he does not think that under can hide to take out money from the anti-France coalition eye. 法国政府格莱斯顿直接忽略掉了,显然他也不认为能够从反法同盟眼皮子底下掏出钱来。 Belgian and German governments do not have money, this is the facts that everyone knows, Gladstone did not count on that they take out money immediately. 比德两国政府没钱,这是人尽皆知的事实,格莱斯顿也不指望他们马上掏出钱来。 Does not have money not to relate, Britain has the financial team of specialty. So long as can put out enough collateral, does not have the issue taking advantage of one again. 没钱没关系,不列颠有专业的金融团队。只要能拿出足够的抵押品,再借一笔都没问题。 The key is to solve the problem the attitude, actually because without money, but has to temporarily suspend payment, wants repudiating a debt. 关键在于解决问题的态度,究竟是因为没钱而不得不“暂停支付”,还是要“赖账”。 The plan that „ the Belgian government gives is to postpone for five years pays, makes the guarantee with the war indemnity of French, five years later the war indemnity that the French pays first reimburses to us. “比利时政府给出的方案是延期五年支付,用法国人的战争赔款做担保,五年以后法国人支付的战争赔款优先向我们偿付。 The plan that the German federal government gives is the creditor's rights shifts, deducts the corresponding quota in the war indemnity directly, is undertaken this debt by the French. 德意志联邦政府给出的方案是债权转移,直接在战争赔款中抵扣相应额度,由法国人来承担这笔债务。 Theoretically, plan of Belgian and German governments. The only issue lies in a French whether has the paying capacity. ” 理论上来说,比德两国政府的方案都可以。唯一的问题在于法国人是否具有支付能力。” It is not George is softhearted, is really the present situation is special. The present Belgium is a poor devil, the state treasury can not use the front door, cannot explode the oil. 不是乔治心慈手软,实在是现在情况特殊。现在的比利时就是一穷鬼,国库都可以不用上大门,根本就炸不出油来。 The German federation seems like that the situation is much better, but this government extremely weakness, may close anytime. 德意志联邦看似情况要好一些,但是这个政府太过弱势,随时都有可能关门。 If not handle the debt problem a bit faster, waits for Austria to announce restores Holy Roman Empire , disbands German federation illegal organization, when the time comes even the creditors gave directly entire do not have. 要是不快点儿处理债务问题,等地利宣布恢复神圣罗马帝国,解散德意志联邦这个非法组织,到时候直接连债主都给整没了。 No country will pay for the rebellious party establish illegal government, only if Britain can make Austria recognize the legitimacy of German federal government. 没有哪个国家会为乱党成立的非法政府买单,除非不列颠能够让地利承认德意志联邦政府的合法性。 This obviously is not possible. Acknowledged that the German federal government is legitimate, means the empire to split, 30 years ago Vienna can withstand the pressure, now not to mention. 这显然是不可能的。承认德意志联邦政府合法,就意味着帝国分裂,三十年前维也纳就能够顶住压力,现在就更不用说了。 Troublesome!” “麻烦啊!” Perhaps judging from the present situation, the anti-France coalition will definitely knock French one ruthlessly, the war indemnity cannot 1 billion pounds. “从目前的情况来看,反法同盟肯定会狠狠的敲法国人一笔,战争赔款恐怕不会十亿英镑。 Belgium is big in the sacrifice that in this war makes, in emotion in managing Austria will benefit must comfort, is divided the indemnity proportion of arriving at should not to lower. 比利时在这次战争中做出的牺牲非常大,于情于理地利都要进行安抚,分到的赔款比例应该不会低。 Five years make the cushion, the French should also restore several points of vitality, even if unable the payment indemnity, the minute/share to arrive on Belgian that part in full every year, still sufficed to pay our debt. Even if there are insufficient, can still make the Belgian make up. 有五年时间做缓冲,法国人应该也恢复了几分元气,就算是无法全额支付赔款,每年分到比利时头上的那部分,也够支付我们债务了。就算是有所不足,也可以让比利时人补上。 The proposition of German federal government troubled, the creditor's rights transfer us seem like have not lost, the risk that in fact needs to take is big. 德意志联邦政府的提议就麻烦了,债权转让我们看似没有损失,实际上需要承担的风险非常大。 Not only need be worried about the paying capacity of French, but must consider the political risk. If suddenly Austria is up to mischief, making the French deliberately delay, or shifting the debt places fulfills finally, it is estimated that this century ended, we cannot see money. ” 不仅要担心法国人的支付能力,还要考虑政治上的风险。如果俄从中搞鬼,让法国人故意拖延,或者是把转移过来的债务放在最后履行,估计这个世纪结束,我们都看不到钱。” Is beyond control Gladstone is not worried, Britain has played similar method, now the geomancy transfers in turn, being one's turn them was passive. 由不得格莱斯顿不担心,不列颠就玩儿过类似的手段,现在风水轮流转了,轮到他们被动了。 Accepts the creditor's rights transfer of German federation, means the high risk ; The rejection creditor's rights transfer, takes the risk the opportunity not to have continually. 接受德意志联邦的债权转让,意味着高风险;拒绝债权转让,连承担风险的机会都没有。 The present German federal government, looks like one to withstand/top the huge debt, soon goes bankrupt Co. , Ltd., is registration capital in cash lowest that. 现在的德意志联邦政府,就像是一家顶着巨额债务,快要破产的有限责任公司,还是注册资本金最低的那种。 Everyone only shoulders the responsibility in the registration capital in cash range in any case, legal person, the shareholders chose the prompt stop-loss, without the intention of retrieval company. 反正大家只在注册资本金范围承担责任,无论是法人,还是股东都选择了及时止损,没有挽救公司的意图。 As Britain of creditor on tragedy, or receiving after dunning company in the outside bad account, either waiting bankruptcy settlement. 作为债主的不列颠就悲剧了,要么去催收公司在外边的坏账,要么等待破产清算。 Foreign minister George added: „ Not is only we, the other creditors of German federation, now are also the same treatments, benefits Royal Bank to be no exception including Austria. 外交大臣乔治补充道:“不光是我们,德意志联邦的其他债主们,现在也是一样的待遇,包括地利皇家银行也不例外。 Now George I have lived in seclusion and declined visitors, threw all things to the German federal government, the Hanover kingdom and German federation has completed cutting. 现在乔治一世已经闭门谢客,把所有的事情都扔给了德意志联邦政府,汉诺威王国和德意志联邦已经完成了切割。 In order to secure against loss, Ministry of Foreign Affairs proposed pays off a debt in labor with the colony, was rejected by them. Hervoir is also clamoring, so long as dares to move their colonies to make war with us. ” 为了止损,外交部提出了用殖民地抵债,还是遭到了他们的拒绝。艾瓦尔还叫嚣着,只要敢动他们的殖民地就和我们开战。” It is not the fuel-efficient lamp, even if the biological son in Britain, now also following rebel. No matter past relations good, in brief the debt they will not carry. 都不是省油的灯,哪怕是不列颠的亲儿子,现在也跟着叛逆了。不管以往的关系有多好,总之债务他们是不会背的。 Even if clear(ly) knows that like this offends dead Britain, others now are still fearless. Holy Roman Empire that revives in any case is European hegemon, the English wants to look for trouble also has the central government to withstand/top, does not absolutely need to instigate. 即便是明知道这样得罪死不列颠,人家现在也是无所畏惧。反正复兴的神圣罗马帝国就是欧陆霸主,英国人想找麻烦也有中央政府顶着,根本就没必要怂。 ...... …… Similarly in puzzled , is not only the British government, does not feel better in the Japanese government of Tokyo now. Even if the Japanese forces have seized Philippines, has not made Emperor Meiji feel gratified. 同样在纠结的不光是英国政府,远在东京的日本政府现在也不好受。即便是日军已经占领了菲律宾群岛,都没有让明治天皇感到欣慰。 Does not have the means that the plan not to change quickly. Was preparing after the situation understands speculates, what a pity because of the communication inconvenient reason, the news of Japanese government lagged for several days. 没有办法,计划没有变化快。原本准备着在局势明了后投机一把,可惜因为通讯不便的缘故,日本政府的消息滞后了几天。 However, such several days of times, the French surrendered. The Japanese government prepares the good war declaration, cannot deliver. 然而,就这么几天功夫,法国人就投降了。以至于日本政府准备好的战书,都送不出去。 To bump Jindezhen is not good forcefully. law was the South China Peninsula to be forestalled by the English, the French fell Austria to benefit in the hand on several islands of Southeast Asia area, no was they dares to annoy. 想要强行碰瓷都不行。法属中南半岛被英国人抢先了,法国人在南洋地区的几个小岛又落到了地利手中,没有一个是他们敢惹的。 The congenial failure, making Japan be in a very awkward position now, the international situation was unfriendly to them, particularly following Vienna peace conference. 投机失败,让日本现在处于了一个非常尴尬的位置,国际局势对他们不友好,尤其是接下来的维也纳和会。 But Spain European country, is one in anti-France coalition, whom at the Vienna peace conference everyone will support to be clear at a glance. 西班牙可是欧洲国家,又是反法同盟中的一员,维也纳和会上大家会支持谁一目了然。 It is not able to obtain the approval of various countries, Philippines that they seize belongs without the duckweed of root, may be given to rob anytime. 无法获得各国的认可,他们占领的菲律宾群岛就属于无根之萍,随时都有可能被人给抢走。 In the future, they not only need be worried about counter-attack of Spanish, but must be vigilant the British Austria two countries' under evil behind-the-scenes manipulator to them. 在接下来的日子里,他们不仅要担心西班牙人的反扑,还要警惕英两国对他们下黑手。 Before Spain can defend Philippines, but not only because of the strength, looked at the strength purely, Spain, Holland and Portugal did not have the qualifications to defend to stop the colony, what were more was the political factor. 之前西班牙能够守住菲律宾群岛,可不仅仅是因为实力,单纯看实力,西班牙、荷兰、葡萄牙都没有资格守住手中的殖民地,更多的还是政治因素。 Now the European situation big change, Philippines falls into the Japanese hand, the original political factor is not suitable at this time. 现在欧陆局势大变,菲律宾群岛又落入日本人手中,原本的政治因素在这个时候已经不适用了。 Missed the speculation opportunity, the Japanese government wants to defend Philippines, can only depend on the strength speech. 错过了投机机会,日本政府想要守住菲律宾群岛,就只能凭实力说话。 Prime minister, what standpoint are various European countries?” “首相,欧洲各国是什么立场?” Hirobumi Itou look one tight, somewhat awkward saying: „ Situation is less optimistic, I visited the ministers personally, even if the empire made the concession, has not earned the explicit support of any country. 伊藤博文神色一紧,有些为难的说道:“情况不容乐观,我亲自去拜访了各国公使,即便是帝国做出了让步,也没有获得任何一个国家的明确支持。 In the great nation the standpoint of English is fuzzy, seems does not care about us to seize Philippines completely ; The Russia person also favors Spain, makes the concession after the empire, has not obtained their guarantees. 大国之中英国人的立场模糊,好似完全不在意我们占领菲律宾群岛;俄国人也更倾向于西班牙,在帝国做出让步之后,也没有得到他们的保证。 Standpoint that Austria benefits to us most disadvantageous, Minister Anthony Austria explicitly said, hopes we give up Philippines, stops to the footsteps that Southeast Asia expands. 地利的立场对我们最不利,安东尼公使明确表示,希望我们放弃菲律宾群岛,停下向南洋扩张的脚步。 The only good news is the standpoint that Austria benefits is not too firm, without intention that the military force interferes with. Opposed that we seize Philippines, should be because Spain is their allies. 唯一的好消息是地利的立场不是太坚决,没有武力干涉的意图。反对我们占领菲律宾群岛,应该是因为西班牙是他们的盟友。 The news that according to Europe transmits, the Spanish has started to form to expedite the fleet, at present already three new-style battleships and ten armored vessels, come from French Navy. ” 根据欧洲传来的消息,西班牙人已经开始组建远征舰队,目前已有三艘新式战列舰和十艘铁甲舰,全部来自于法国海军。” Asking that minister of the navy Tsugumichi Saigou has doubts: „The warship of French is not to conduct the auction completely, how to fall in a native of Spain hand?” 海军大臣西乡从道疑惑的问:“法国人的军舰不是全部都要进行拍卖么,怎么落到了西班牙人手中了?” Hirobumi Itou's helpless explanation: „ The warship of French is the spoils of war of anti-France coalition, Spain is one in anti-France coalition, borrows ahead of time before the auction, has nothing at the worst. 伊藤博文无奈的解释道:“法国人的军舰都是反法同盟的战利品,西班牙又是反法同盟中的一员,在拍卖之前提前借用一下,也没有什么大不了的事情。 Even if must auction, still walks an interlude, these warships will fall to the Spanish hand in similarly. Can be bought the warship by the outside world truly, is the anti-France coalition various countries selects remaining. ” 就算是要进行拍卖,也只是走一个过场,这些军舰同样会落到西班牙手中。真正能够被外界买到军舰,也是反法同盟各国挑剩下的。” Opening the back door was normal. As one in anti-France coalition, without the privilege has the issue. 开后门再正常不过了。作为反法同盟中的一员,要是没有特权才有问题。 Tsugumichi Saigou was silent. Hundred years of navy did not chat, do not look at fierce that Spain declined, others navy background did not lack. So long as has money to have the warship, quick can pull out a fleet. 西乡从道沉默了。百年海军不是说笑的,别看西班牙没落的厉害,人家的海军底蕴还是不缺的。只要有钱有军舰,很快就可以拉出一支舰队来。 The Japanese Navy family property is limited, the most advanced battleship also on several armored vessels, or is a cruiser, the most advanced battleship does not exist. 日本海军家底有限,最先进的战舰也就几艘铁甲舰,或者说是巡洋舰,最先进的战列舰根本就不存在。 The warship is not a common weapon, not can buy richly. Can in the warship that in the international market buys, is two third-class warships, even may also be the simplified version, this aspect English plays smoothest. 军舰并非一般武器,并非有钱就能够买得到。能够在国际市场上买到的军舰,都是二三流军舰,甚至还有可能是简化版,这方面英国人玩儿的最溜。 More than 10,000 tons former dread naughts to the previous several thousand tons cruisers, fight, might as well is slaughtering. The navy depends is not the blood brave air/Qi, the technical disparity is not several slogans can make up. 一万多吨的前无畏舰对上几千吨的巡洋舰,与其说是战斗,还不如是在屠杀。海军靠的不是血勇之气,技术上的差距不是几句口号能够弥补的。 How to be again self-confident, Tsugumichi Saigou does not think that Japanese Navy that several broken ship, can compare favorably with the essence warship of French Navy. 再怎么自信,西乡从道也不认为日本海军那几条破船,就能够和法国海军的精华军舰媲美。 Saw the navy to instigate, army great general Dashanyan quickly displayed saying: Relax, your majesty. Empire of Japan Army does not fear the challenge of any enemy, so long as there are us, can defend Philippines absolutely.” 见海军怂了,陆军大将大山岩急忙表现道:“放心吧,陛下。大日本帝国陆军不惧怕任何敌人的挑战,只要有我们在,绝对能够守住菲律宾群岛。” Different Yu Haijun's worry, army high and low, but is confident. In the beforehand Philippines offensive and defensive operations, Japanese Army hangs dozen of Spanishs. 不同于海军的忧心,陆军上下可是信心十足。在之前的菲律宾群岛攻防战中,日本陆军是一路吊打西班牙人。
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