„Editor-in-chief, Jarriel's exchange rate rose......” “主编,加利尔的汇率又涨了……” A reporter knocked the office not to have the closure gate, searched the head opposite to work the magazine editor-in-chief to say such a few words. 一名记者敲了敲办公室没有关闭的门,探着脑袋对立面正在工作中的杂志主编说出了这样一句话。 As can in «Wade of international multi- country release knowledge and specialty that the International finance Viewer» editor-in-chief, sometimes his work and he masters, is not a matter. 作为能够在国际多国发行的《韦德・国际金融观察者》杂志的主编,有时候他的工作和他掌握的知识、专业,并不是一回事。 After the editor-in-chief crossed several seconds of type, puts down the pen, rubs the eyes, and sighs. 主编过了几秒种后才放下笔,揉了揉眼睛,并且叹了一口气。 „I knew, you go busily......” “我知道了,你去忙吧……” He spoke thoughtlessly to send reporter, being able to hear his present mood to be a little low. 他随口打发了门外的记者,听得出他现在的情绪有点低落。 Actually this is very normal, people of the world mainstream think that Jarriel will have the unabated growth, the fact indeed so, so far Jarriel's exchange rate is always also rising, as the federation and Frat's business negotiation opens, Jarriel displayed the strong momentum again. 其实这很正常,全世界主流的人们都认为加利尔会有持续的增长,事实也的确如此,到目前为止加利尔的汇率始终在上升,并且随着联邦和盖弗拉的商务谈判开启,加利尔再次表现出了强劲的势头。 As an experienced editor-in-chief, he is actually very clear, now Jarriel to the target is not federal Sol, but is the benefit of federal in Jarriel. 作为一名见多识广的主编,他其实很清楚,现在加利尔对标的不是联邦索尔,而是联邦在加利尔内的利益。 Once the federation and Frat's business negotiation carries out and achieves many cooperation smoothly, Nagat Leir's inexpensive pool of labor power can obtain the full use, then Jarriel's appreciation naturally is also the matter in reason. 一旦联邦和盖弗拉的商务谈判顺利进行并且达成多项合作,纳加利尔廉价的劳动力资源就可以得到充分的利用,那么加利尔的升值自然也是情理之中的事情。 But he cannot tell others, the mainstream media were saying, the magazine that he holds an office in cannot say. 可他偏偏不能这么告诉别人,主流的媒体都在这么说,他所任职的杂志就不能这么说。 Not only cannot comply with the main tidal current saying that instead must express the opinions of a series of counter- tidal current to attract the attention of people, this is also the basis of magazine survival, is they captures the investor attention the way. 不仅不能顺应着主要的潮流去说,反而要发表一系列反潮流的言论来吸引人们的注意力,这也是杂志生存的根本,同时也是他们吸引投资者目光的方式。 Others are singing, you write off, some association/will people based on „me must understand that you put what fart then to attack your ignorance” as well as „how I want to take a look at you to use the absurd way to convince me” such reason to purchase this magazine, to magazine this was the successful marketing method. 别人都在唱好,偏偏你唱衰,总会有些人无论是基于“我要了解你放了什么屁然后抨击你的无知”以及“我想要看看你用怎样荒唐的方式来说服我”这样原因购买这份杂志,对杂志本身来说这就是成功的营销方法。 But edits many some is not unwilling, is helpless. 但主编多少有些不甘心,又无能为力。 They just published to the Jarriel following trend looks to fade, the real-time fluctuation of Jarriel exchange rate on their faces ruthlessly came, the editor-in-chief a little stomach hurts. 他们刚刚发表了对加利尔接下来走势的看衰,加利尔汇率的实时波动就在他们的脸上狠狠的来了一下,主编有点胃疼。 May have the means that this is the way and basis of magazine company survival, if they do not do that will be quick they to submerge in the entire mainstream market. 可有没有办法,这就是杂志社生存的方式和根本,如果他们不这么做,很快他们就会淹没在整个主流市场里。 Without the brand influence, without taking acts, with others entirely different viewpoint, why can people choose such a magazine of does not have any value? 没有品牌影响力,没有拿得出手,和别人截然不同的观点,人们为什么要选择这样一份没有任何价值的杂志？ When he thought whether needs to change a work, ringtone towering resounding before case, frightened he trembled. 就在他觉得是否需要换一份工作的时候,案前的电话铃声突兀的响起,吓的他哆嗦了一下。 After criticizing several, he picked up the telephone, „here is the international viewer magazine company, I am the editors-in-chief of magazine company......” 暗骂了几句后,他提起了电话,“这里是国际观察者杂志社,我是杂志社的主编……” He has not added on Wade this name, reduced it, this can also make the name of magazine company sound in a higher-end atmosphere the scale. 他没有加上“韦德”这个名字,把它缩减掉了,这样也能让杂志社的名字听起来更加高端大气上档次。 On the face of quick editor-in-chief showed some strange looks, because the goal of caller makes people think a little...... inconceivable. 很快主编的脸上露出了一些奇怪的神色,因为来电者的目的让人觉得有点……不可思议。 „I want to know that you come from regarding the judgment that Jarriel exchange rate can crash quickly these evidence, and I also want to ask whether your magazine company accepts the support or the investment.” “我想知道你们对于加利尔汇率很快就会崩盘的判断来自于那些证据,并且我也想要问问,你们杂志社是否接受赞助或者投资。” The editor-in-chief replied hastily: „Naturally, naturally, we accept the support of any nature, accepts the investment, but to investing to account for a proportion to have a request, has the lower limit and upper limit.” 主编连忙回答道:“当然,当然,我们接受任何性质的赞助,也接受投资,但是对投资占股比例有一个要求,有下限和上限。” Invests a dollar also to invest, invests 1 million also to invest, before the all over the world had has been hitting „investment inspection” the pretence, deceives to eat to deceive everywhere to drink even is the leaning color matter happened, to prevent such matter happened in the magazine company, the editor-in-chief told the opposite party, the investment has the lower limit. 投资一块钱也是投资,投资一百万也是投资,以前世界各地都发生过打着“投资考察”的幌子,到处骗吃骗喝甚至是偏色的事情发生,为了预防这样的事情发生在杂志社,主编告诉对方,投资是有下限的。 Telephone another mister chuckle one, „this is not the issue, you can make...... this phone call to consult with the investment the matter, but I want first to know why you will make such judgment, judged that Jarriel will crash.” 电话另外一头的先生轻笑了一声,“这不是问题,你可以让人打……这个电话接洽投资的事情,而我想要先知道,你们为什么会作出这样的判断,判断加利尔会崩盘。” Opportunity, unprecedented big opportunity, editor-in-chief, although is not willing to acknowledge, but has to acknowledge that at this moment the directors of magazine company in operation indeed a little means that their magazine opening issues not long, attracted the investor unexpectedly, he did not think that violates the conscience to publish the ideas of some counter- tidal current not to feel better. 机会,前所未有的大机会,主编虽然不愿意承认,但此时此刻不得不承认杂志社的社长在运营方面的确有点办法,他们的杂志创刊没有多久,居然就吸引来了投资者,他也不觉得违背本心去发表一些反潮流的想法不好受了。 He reorganized a mentality slightly, then said that „this mister......” 他稍稍整理了一下思路,然后说道,“这位先生……” „You can call my Herbers.” “你可以叫我赫伯斯。” „Mr. Herbers? My God, I know you, Mr. Herbers, you and between Mr. Lynch to betting the agreement shocked the world financial circle!”, The editor-in-chief becomes more excited, this is a celebrity. “赫伯斯先生？我的天,我知道你,赫伯斯先生,你和林奇先生之间的对赌协议震惊了世界金融界！”,主编变得更加兴奋起来,这可是一个名人。 If also had anything to make people besides federal financial collapse for these years feel surprisedly, inconceivable matter, then 10 billion pairs bet are one of them. 如果说这几年来除了联邦金融崩盘之外还有什么能够让人感觉到惊讶的,不可思议的事情,那么百亿对赌就是其中之一。 Do not look that people said Jarriel is not valuable, but how it again is not even valuable, that is still money, moreover is 10 billion, approximately the value 8000 to 90 million federal Sol, 40 million, this sum of money is not the casual anyone can take. 别看人们都说加利尔不值钱,可就算它再怎么不值钱,那也是钱,而且还是一百亿,大约值八千到九千万联邦索尔,四千万的夫拉,这笔钱也不是随随便便什么人能拿出来的。 To betting enough has shocked the entire world related to the finance of this scale, it is said many countries planned , after betting the result comes out, this „unprecedented” includes in the financial arena related books to the gambling, as case careful research and analysis that the later financial scholar cannot miss. 涉及到这种规模的金融对赌已经足够震动全世界,据说很多国家都打算在对赌结果出来之后,把这个“史无前例”的对赌列入金融领域相关的书籍里,作为以后金融学者不能错过的案例仔细的研究和分析。 Now one of the litigants telephones, even if Mr. Herbers does not give the magazine company to invest, is this telephones merely, enough makes in the magazine company financial industry international show talent for the first time. 现在当事人之一打电话来,哪怕赫伯斯先生不给杂志社投资,仅仅是这通电话,就足够让杂志社在国际范围内的金融行业内崭露头角。 The editor-in-chief puts out a hand according to a recording key immediately, he needs to preserve this sound recording, naturally he will not inform the opposite party. 主编立刻伸手按了一下录音键,他需要保存这份录音,当然他不会告知对方。 „Edits the mister, please let us return to our issues, ok?” “主编先生,请让我们回到我们的问题上,好么？” „You base on what reason to analyze that Jarriel's exchange rate will crash, I now only to this being interested!” “你是基于什么原因判断加利尔的汇率会崩盘,我现在只对这个感兴趣！” „Good, good, I was too excited, I tell you now my judgment!”, Editor-in-chief calm, organized own language, starts to narrate own viewpoint. “好的,好的,我太激动了,我现在就告诉你我的判断！”,主编冷静了一下,重新组织了自己的语言,开始叙述自己的观点。 „Mr. Herbers, if you pay attention to so far the Nagat Leir's domestic actual situation, should discover an actually very clear line, or vein.” “赫伯斯先生,如果你注意到目前纳加利尔国内的实际情况,就应该会发现一条其实非常清晰的线,或者说脉络。” „Federal Sol gradually is replacing Jarriel's circulation in Nagat Leir, soon before the big parade of accelerated this point.” “联邦索尔正在逐渐的取代加利尔在纳加利尔内的流通情况,不久之前发生的大游行加速了这一点。” „Because the rise of Jarriel exchange rate makes the Nagat Leir's domestic workers to continue use Jarriel as providing the currency of pay has discontentedly, under concrete propelling force function that in some we do not know, regional workers start to request with federal Sol to settle accounts, and Jarriel who has the hand in exchanged federal Sol.” “因为加利尔汇率的上升让纳加利尔国内的工人们对继续使用加利尔作为发放薪资的货币有所不满,在一些我们不知道的具体推动力作用下,各地的工人们都开始要求用联邦索尔结算,并且把手里已持有的加利尔兑换成了联邦索尔。” „Jarriel's function is abating, it is withdrawing from the circulation market quietly, no matter but the Union development company, is Nagat Leir Union kingdom, has not delivered any explanation in view of this matter, they are ignoring this matter.” “加利尔的作用正在消退,它正在悄然的退出流通市场,但不管是联合开发公司,还是纳加利尔联合王国,都没有针对这件事发表任何的说明,他们正在漠视这种事情的发生。” „Once Jarriel's circulation restricted and even completely withdraws, it will turn into a white paper in a flash, but I think that this perhaps is the plundering way of federal to Nagat Leir.” “一旦加利尔的流通受限乃至全面退出,它一瞬间就会变成一张白纸,而我认为这或许就是联邦对纳加利尔的掠夺方式。” „They used an unprecedented method to plunder the property of this country, once Jarriel withdrew from the market, Nagat Leir must start the new legal currency to stabilize the entire commercial society immediately, what but also there is able federal Sol more effective, stabler currency?” “他们使用了一种前所未有的方法掠夺这个国家的财产,一旦加利尔退出市场,纳加利尔就必须立刻启动新的法定流通货币来稳定整个商业社会,还有什么能比联邦索尔更有效,更稳定的货币吗？” „No, no, federal Sol will replace Jarriel, in the event of such situation, the federal person will certainly prevent Jarriel's circulation again resourcefully, finally Nagat Leir will degenerate into the federal the financial colony.” “不,没有,联邦索尔会取代加利尔,一旦发生了这样的情况,联邦人一定会更加想方设法的阻止加利尔的重新流通,最终纳加利尔将会沦为联邦的金融殖民地。” „If you know, or had heard Mr. Lynch expressed has in Bupen in the mid of the year before last year about ‚financial war that’ the related opinion, roughly can understand advantage that did that!” “如果你知道,或者听说过林奇先生在前年年中于布佩恩发表的有关于‘金融战争’的相关言论,大致就能明白这么做的好处！” „These are my guess, not necessarily is correct, has some my unable to explain problems in this guess, for example the Nagat Leir's official inaction, how and federation makes Jarriel withdraw from the market distribution......” “这些都是我的猜测,并不一定正确,在这种猜测中也存在一些我无法解释的问题,比如说纳加利尔官方的不作为,以及联邦如何让加利尔退出市场流通等……” The editor-in-chief has specialized relevant area knowledge, he thinks this possibility, but also needs to solve some problems, so long as can solve these problems, then his guess can establish. 主编有着非常专业的相关领域知识,他认为有这种可能,但也需要解决一些问题,只要能解决这些问题,那么他的猜测就能成立。 The president appreciates his theory very much, what is most essential is these theories can attract the attention of people, therefore leave alone these issues and guessed whether can solve, establishes, first sent to say the result again. 社长很欣赏他的理论,最关键的是这些理论能吸引人们的眼球,所以别管这些问题和猜测是否能够解决,是否成立,先把结果发出去再说。 Look attracted the great person, later makes the sales volume of magazine company rise dramatically with „business advice organization that Mr. Herbers attached great importance to” merely sufficiently, or transformed directly to become a financial advisory service organization. 这不,吸引到了大人物,以后仅仅用“赫伯斯先生最重视的业务咨询机构”就足以让杂志社的销量暴增,或者直接转型成为一个金融咨询服务机构。 The telephone throughout remains silent, even breathes the sound not to have, after editor-in-chief waited to meet, is trying asking, „is Mr. Herbers, you still listening?” 电话始终保持着沉默,连呼吸声音都没有,主编等了一会之后,才尝试着问道,“赫伯斯先生,你还在听吗？” Probably after several seconds, that side the telephone broadcasts the sound, „, yes, I am still listening, you think how many probabilities your viewpoint does have possibly to realize?” 大概几秒后,电话那边才传来声音,“是的,是的,我还在听,你认为你的这种观点有多少概率可能实现？” Editor-in-chief hesitant a meeting, „I am indefinite, Mr. Herbers, I uses my expertise and my reason analyzes, this is almost impossible to complete.” 主编犹豫了一会,“我不确定,赫伯斯先生,我用我的专业知识和我的理智来分析,这几乎不可能完成。” „Any country easily will not give up itself using, and has used many years from release currency, diverts other currencies of national release, this was equal to completely giving up the management and control to the domestic market.” “任何一个国家都不会轻易的放弃自己正在使用,并且已经使用了很多年的自发行货币,转用其他国家发行的货币,这等于完全放弃了对国内市场的管理和控制权。” „But from the perceptual perspective, I thinks that at present current all these, perfectly conform to my judgments and appraisals to these aspects, it indeed is happening.” “但从感性的角度来说,我认为目前正在发生的这一切,非常符合我对这些局面的判断和评估,它的确正在发生。” „I cannot to you an accurate number, that be irresponsible, I can only say have the opportunity . Moreover the opportunity is big!” “我不能给你一个准确的数字,那是不负责的,我只能说有机会,而且机会不小！” The breathing in receiver gradually coarsens, after a while, the sound in receiver resounds again, „thanked your help, edited the mister, later my assistant will contact with you again, perhaps you will be interested in the new work......” 听筒里的呼吸声逐渐变粗,过了一会,听筒里的声音再次响起,“感谢你的帮助,主编先生,稍后我的助手会重新和你联系,或许你会对一些新工作感兴趣……” After making the telephone call, Mr. Herbers makes an effort is rubbing the face, he understands finally where the issue roughly left. 挂了电话之后,赫伯斯先生用力的搓着脸,他终于明白,问题大致出在什么地方了。 But he is actually facing a difficult issue now, if he recovers this sum of money then to undersell to shift ahead of time loses, then the penalty can make him eat a pot. 可他现在却面临着一个两难的问题,如果他提前收回这笔钱然后抛售出去转移损失,那么违约金就能让他吃一壶。 If he bets Lynch not to do, if Jarriel collects sincere slump, his loss will be bigger. 如果他赌林奇不那么做,万一加利尔的汇率真的暴跌,他的损失就会更大。 He ponders over, forcing oneself to calm down, then to start the installation work. 他思前想后,强迫自己冷静下来,然后开始布置工作。 The information is the money market most essential factor, the information that you have are more than others, has bigger victory surface. 信息是金融市场最关键的因素,你掌握的信息比别人更多,就有着更大的胜面。 Mr. Herbers mobilizes all strengths to collect the information, to guarantee that he can reduce to slightly the loss. 赫伯斯先生发动起自己所有的力量去搜集信息,以确保他能把损失减少到最小。 Sits in the room, turns off a light, the fighting earthen bowl of tobacco pipe sends out some dark weak brights slightly, muddy smog from spouts suddenly somewhere, along with a name of person, and was full of hatred- 坐在房间里,关着灯,烟斗的斗钵微微发出一些暗弱的亮光,一股浑浊的烟雾在突然从某处喷出,伴随着一个人的名字,且充满了恨意- „Lynch!” “林奇！”